A study published on July 29 showed that human-caused climate change increased the likelihood of a July 2022 heat wave in the UK 10 times. The researchers were also surprised by how quickly temperatures were rising, much faster than models had predicted.
On July 19, the temperature crossed the threshold of 40 degrees Celsius in the United Kingdom, the first in this country that it, like the rest of Western Europe, was hit by an amountResulting in around London, damaging homes.
An international team of researchers has modeled the probability of such a wavein a pre-industrial climate, and then compare this probability with the current climate, i.e. mean global temperature warming of + 1.2 ° C compared to the pre-industrial period.
They focused on records being set in the hardest-hit parts of the UK, central England and eastern Wales. This probability is shown to be at least 10 times higher with.
Extreme temperatures are rising faster than expected
According to this study, extreme events affecting Europe have increased more than predicted by climate models.
“In Europe and other parts of the world, we are seeing more and more record-breaking heat waves, resulting in extreme temperatures, which are increasing faster than most climate models.says Frederic Otto, from Grantham Institute In theImperial College from London. It is a disturbing finding that indicates that ifFrom Not quickly reduced, the consequences In Europe, the extreme temperatures, which are already very deadly, may be worse than expected.”she completes.